Category Archives: Betting Advice

Not just another day in the office

Wednesday is Caddy day…

It’s the day of the week I look forward to most.

Why? I am presented with a challenge to find winning or placed golf selections on the European Tour and the US PGA Tour for my clients.

It is a weekly challenge I relish with great vigour. It is a weekly challenge that sometimes we get right and sometimes not. But when my clients and I are betting regular golf winners at 70/1, 25/1, 20/1, 10/1, 15/2 etc, with many other golfers placed at odds up to and above 100/1, we can afford the occasional losing weekend!

By default, I have to place all my bets with Betfair Exchange. This is de fault (sorry!) of any bookmaker you care to mention closing my account or restricting my account to be as good as closed.

I have a feeling you may be in a similar position with your bookmaker accounts?

Well, worry not about getting your golf bets placed, whatever the price may be and at whatever stakes you want to use. The exchange caters for people like us, almost always.

And there’s more…

When opportunity knocks, we open the door!

Because I encourage my Clients to use the exchange, we have yet another string to our bow…

We often have the opportunity to Trade to a FREE BET/NO LOSS position.

Sounds good doesn’t it?

And don’t worry if you’re new to the Betfair Exchange. I explain in every way and detail how to trade, so you won’t be left wondering, or confused, or behind.

I’ll take you by the hand. I’ll teach you and show you a new way to have your stake back in your pocket but still make profit if our golfer wins. Yep, it’s often a free bet/no loss situation. Trust me!

A typical Wednesday goes like this…

6:30am Up and about, in the shower, ready to go!

7:00am Pick up the Racing Post from the porch floor, head into the kitchen and its coffee on, muesli in the bowl. After half an hour breakfast is done and dusted with a quick scan of the RP.

7:30am Turn to the first golf pages of the RP, often the European Tour and set alight my unique, brilliant, (I believe so!), golf strategy! Yep, it’s mine!

You’ve known or seen nothing like it before or since. The data I use is not found in any computer database for a simple ‘lazy way to riches’ input and spit out result. My data is from sheer exhaustive work, long ago, using hard copies of the Racing Post. Burning the midnight oil and foregoing things many others took for granted. Was it worth the struggle, pain and heartache?

You bet!

8:30am I repeat the process for the US PGA Tour.

9:30am I take a break from the golf and look through the RP at the types of horse races I may or may not be interested in. I check my trainer’s entries and swap texts or phone calls, plus of course wish him the very best of good luck!

10:15am I compose my copy for The Caddy’s Telegram (the FREE instant messaging portal we give all clients access too) and email updates.

Via our Telegram group I also post all relevant trading information on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday. You are never left dangling and wondering what to do with your golf bets. This is a professional and client friendly service. You will be heads up all the way.

11:00am I try to aim to have the Telegram information posted and with clients by no later than 11am each Wednesday. That said, you will often have until the following day – 6:30am for the European Tour and midday for the US PGA Tour – to place your bets.

As a rule, we have between 0 and 2 golf bets per Tour per week. I do not throw stuff at the wall in the hope something sticks.

Our outlay per week is between 0 and 4 points staked. A 50 point bank has never in any way been under pressure. Personally, I believe a 25 point bank is sufficient but let’s err towards caution.

And well, that’s about it, really! I’ve put in the work so that you don’t have to.

Recently, we have enjoyed winners @ 70/1 and 10/1, plus numerous places and trades to a no loss situation. We would have had another winner, bar a bolt of lightning, at 16/1 but a positive Covid-19 test ruled him out of the final round when 6 shots clear of the field. Hey Ho. Life goes on! We’re making profit!

Last year, my strategy when proofed from August/September gave numerous winners at 15/2, 20/1 twice, 25/1, plus many places and trade outs to a no loss situation. 

If you enjoy sports betting, you’ll enjoy our four days of golf betting, Thursday to Sunday.

You’ll enjoy our next big priced winner.

You’ll enjoy trading out to a free bet/no loss situation.

You’ll enjoy WINNING!

To give The Caddy a try with our no questions asked 30 day money back guarantee, just click this link.

Why my system is a must for every bettor’s portfolio

Let me take you back to 2000…

I received an email from my cousin, a betting man, but not a full-time passionate bettor. His email was written to tease rather than to inform. The gist of it was “I’ve just backed a 40/1 winner”.

I replied in my normal way of well done you, I’m pleased for you, and how did you manage that? His reply was less than helpful or forsthcoming and simply said that there were 156 runners!

Thinking cap on and I concluded it must be golf, which he confirmed and pointed me towards the Racing Post and the resident tipster, Jeremy Chapman. I’ll have a bit of that I thought.

I followed Jeremy for the next while or so and yes, I made some profit, but I was never happy betting 4, 5 or 6 golfers in a US tournament and similar again for the European tour…

It meant an outlay of somewhere in the region of 16 -20 points each week and that meant reduced stakes to cover the inevitable losing weeks. Two consecutive losing weeks hurt, but three? Ouch!!

There had to be a better way

Trust is a big thing with me. It has to be two way or no way. I set about meeting up with Jeremy and our first meeting was at Newmarket 2000gns day and a further meeting at the QE11 building in London for the Breeder’s Cup festival.

Jeremy was known as a golfing guru and an expert at golf selections. He was simply the best at that time and his former apprentice, the current golf incumbent at the RP, is not in the same league.

Jeremy was honest with me. He took on board my myriad of questions and confessed to not betting all his own selections. He said he is a journalist first and an occasional bettor second. I was impressed with that answer. It also meant that if he was not prepared to place a stake on his selections, why should I?

Armed with new knowledge passed to me, plus my intention to watch the sport to learn more, I felt I was at a good starting point to progress and profit from the sport of golf. And profit I did.

From 2000 to 2008, I never had a losing year betting on golf.

In 2004, I took on board a form book written by Keith Elliot. What a fantastic discovery this was.

It held all the previous year’s results and consequently directed me to those players most likely to do well: aided and abetted my first-hand research each Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday, I was in business! I was making good profits from only 1 or 2 selections per event per week. Get in!

Then, in 2009, disaster! The Holy Grail was snatched out of my hands.

I was devastated to say the least

Elliot’s golf form book ceased to be, citing family issues and the amount of work needed to produce it.

Those of you reading this, who know me, know that discipline is paramount in my betting life.

No discipline, no profit. It’s that simple. With no form book to guide me, it was no golf betting – end of. I left golf betting for quite some time. With a normal field of 150+ runners one needs an edge and I had lost mine.

Lots of tipsters and systemites choose to use internet based portals to research ideas based on what has gone before. It’s an easy way and a very speedy way to prove/disprove a theory. But it’s not for me.

Back in the day, I had hard copies of the Sporting Life going back years to help with my research. At this time, it was the Racing Post. There is nothing to compare with starting on January 1st and working through each day to December 31st in a quest for an answer. And an answer I found!

I was well armed with my information from Jeremy, I had discipline in abundance, and now I had my selection process too.

I was back in the golf betting world and looking for my first 20/1, 25/1, 33/1, 40/1, 50/1 and 66/1 winners. And, equally as important, I was using a betting bank that could sustain one or two selections per event. Yes!

So, what did I discover?

It is the one thing golfers hate. It is the one thing golf bettors hate. It costs both money and yet now I am making money from it. And you can too.

You see, from a combination of closed bookmaker accounts and Covid-19, I decided to publish my golf strategy and, alongside Bet Chat, The Dossier was released in August/September 2020…

All you need to know to profit from golf betting, exactly as I do, is revealed in The Dossier.

The results since have been phenomenal with winners at 70/1, 25/1, 20/1 twice, 10/1. On top of that we have had many placed golfers at up to 100/1.

In a nutshell, my golf strategy makes money.

It’s a unique approach. You’ve never seen anything like it before. It’s mine!

Plus, to top it all off, Bet Chat are offering a ‘Summer Special’ 50% discount for the entire Dossier (which also includes another FOURTEEN systems in addition to my golf strategy).

It’s available until midnight on Monday only.

Click here to grab a copy today.

Have your say about gambling regulation

Restrictions, bans, refusals to pay out, lies, incompetence, targeting of the vulnerable… it’s safe to say that each and every one of us has at least a couple of major gripes about current bookmaking practises.

We’re also in the relatively uncommon position of having experience of issues that the Lottery playing, fiver on the Grand National mainstream are unaware of. A mainstream that includes the vast majority of law makers.

I referred to problem gambling in the opening sentence and it is of course a hugely important issue (please do seek help if you feel like your gambling is out of control), but it’s also an issue which already receives a lot of good exposure that has helped to implement policies like the £2 maximum stake on FOBTs…

Issues like restrictions and refusals to pay out, on the other hand, are almost entirely ignored.

That’s why it’s absolutely crucial that we use our experiences of the industry to provide our input into the imminent government review of gambling.

Ideas put forward so far range from the sensible – affordability checks – to the ill-thought out – deposit limits irrespective of success, income etc. It’s things like the latter that we need to steer the uniformed away from… 

Saying that sports betting should only ever be for ‘recreational purposes’ is playing right into the bookies hands and is essentially the same as saying you shouldn’t be allowed to profit from it – if that’s the case, you may as well ban betting altogether. 

To reiterate, I am fully supportive of increased help for problem gamblers but, when only one section of society has a say, you end up with disproportionate measures being applied. 

If it becomes impossible for even the shrewdest of judges to make a meaningful income from sports betting then who exactly does that benefit aside from the illegal black market bookies that will no doubt spring up to take advantage?

So, let’s put forward our side of the story. Let’s explain how we bet, not by throwing darts or ‘listening to our gut’, but with logic and nous, and how we’re being unfairly prevented from making legitimate profits by bookmakers restricting everyone who appears to be even vaguely competent.

Maybe that way we can both protect problem gamblers AND make the industry fairer for the rest of us. 

How to provide your input

Ahead of the government review, the Gambling Commission are collecting the views of the public via an online survey…

You can access it here.

This consultation closes on February 9th, so make sure you have your say before then.

Just as with elections, you can’t justifiably not take part and then complain when things change for the worse. You’ve got a voice, so use it.

Bet Chat Diaries: New Year’s Resolutions

If you’re anything like me, you make a whole load of New Year’s resolutions that sound good at the time, but you fail miserably within a few weeks. So, in this time honoured tradition, I’m going to share some of my own related to my betting and trading, and what I hope to achieve in the year ahead. Hopefully some of them might spark a few ideas for you too!

1) Take a less is more approach

I’ve dabbled with so many courses, markets and strategies that I have certainly overtraded and bet on too many things in the past. Now, I’m at a stage where I’ve seen what works for me, what I like and what takes me the least amount of time.

Instead of exploring new angles of attack, I want to focus on making marginal gains in the things that are working best for me: value betting, market movers and a select number of strategies on football and tennis.

2) Listen to the experts

There have been times where I haven’t got on selections by people in the know, such as our very own Adam Cheng and it’s cost me dearly!

It’s good to have an opinion backed up by research in this game, but ultimately there are times to accept when there are smart people out there who know their stuff and have an opinion that can be trusted. As they say, form can be temporary, but class is permanent.

3) Testing

I’ve invested in some bots for the Betfair exchange and am testing a number of strategies. Rather than using big stakes in this most unpredictable of seasons, I’ve decided to test out a number of ideas over the next six months to see what works and what doesn’t.

I’ve adjusted my mindset to see this testing phase as an experiment. It doesn’t matter if I make a loss on small stakes and the profit is nice if it happens, but the most important thing is seeing how these strategies perform over thousands of bets, tweaking if necessary and cherry picking the best ones for next season.

4) Analysis

I’m not the best at record keeping but I try. The problem is you can collect all this data but never do anything with it. So, this year I’m going to make a conscious effort to look back over my results (however painful that can be sometimes) and actually pick out trends or patterns and where I can make improvements going forward.

5) Read more

The list of books and podcasts I want to read and watch (which I hope to cover in future articles) is ever growing, so I want to invest more time into reading a little more each week and listening to a wider range of analysis to inform my own opinions. There is so much good, free information out there that it’s costing potential profit by not exploring it.

(Editor Note: While listening to the Guardian’s Football Weekly podcast recently, I was alerted to the fact that Chelsea haven’t beaten a top 10 team in the league this season (top 10 at the time the match was played). This helped to point me towards a bet on Manchester City to beat them last Sunday at generous odds of 5/4).

6) Write more

I haven’t been nearly as active as I had hoped when it comes to writing articles. It’s something I enjoy and hopefully something of use to you. This year I’ll be writing up more content on a more regular basis that I hope will spark up interesting conversations, debates and more profit for all of us all round!

7) Study more

I’m currently studying a Masters’ degree in Computer Science to help boost my skills in making predictive models and coding. This might improve my betting and trading but at the very least it might help me get a different kind of job if this all goes down the pan!

In line with the less is more approach, I want to spend less time trading but with higher stakes so I can free my brain up for some more learning.

8) Not beat myself up

I probably won’t achieve some of these, but I’ll try my best to make an effort. In times like this, that’s all you can do. Lockdown has given us all the opportunity to free up some time for other pursuits but sometimes it’s ok to switch off and have a lazy day or do something relaxing that doesn’t take up too much energy.

I love what I do but I’ve only had one day off since July. I’m going to make sure I take some time to recover and, if I’m not feeling it that day, just take a break.

Over to you

So, those are my main resolutions for this year. What about you?

Is there anything in your betting you want to look at this year? Anything you were proud of last year that you want to continue?

You can email use your thoughts at clients@thebetchat.com

“This game has triggered me”

Reporting from Bet Chat HQ, north London…

For me back in the day it was Football Manager. For Bet Chat Bec it’s a game called Animal Crossing on her new Nintendo Switch. We all have ideas, challenges, passions etc that we become semi-obsessed by.

Today I’m in your inbox to say this… embrace it!

Now, the dream is obviously to do a job that you love – to do something that you are semi-obsessed by – but sadly, that isn’t always possible.

However, what you can do is harness your love of sport and/or betting and/or investing…

Because here’s a stone cold fact for you: the more work you put into sports betting (or indeed any other investment), the more profit you will make.

Figure out the work that doesn’t feel like work

The great thing about sports betting is that there are plenty of different angles into long-term profitability, so the first thing to do is to figure out what you especially enjoy and what you are mentally well suited to.

Do you enjoy figuring the puzzle out for yourself or would you rather find a portfolio of good tipsters?

Do you prefer fewer winners at big odds or more winners at small odds?

Do you like ‘systems’ with set rules or do you prefer form study?

By figuring out what really floats your boat and purely focusing on strategies that align themselves to that, you’ll find that your enjoyment of betting will increase as – almost certainly – will your profits.

Better than Football Manager and Animal Crossing combined

That’s where I’ll leave it for today as we’re off out for a pre-Tier 3 meal this evening and the in-house pre drinks are calling.

Bar and food critic… Now that’s a line of work I could get FULLY-obsessed by!

“It was an ordeal”

Reporting from Bet Chat HQ, north London…

Last night, Bet Chat Bec spent three hours building a set of drawers. It’s fair to say that they weren’t the best three hours of her life…

At this point I want to make it clear that the three hour ordeal was no fault of her own, but the fault of shoddy instructions and, on a Friday afternoon, that’s more than good enough a tale for me to turn into a vaguely betting related email.

Was it your fault?

When following a tipster or betting strategy it can be pretty easy to point the figure when things go wrong, but before walking off in a huff ask yourself: whose fault is it really?

A surprisingly large amount of the time the issues are caused by something entirely avoidable – not reading the instructions properly.

Did you fail to put the recommended betting bank in place?

Did you fail to follow the recommended stakes?

Did you fail to take best prices to such an extent that you were leaving big chunks of profit behind?

Did you simply read a tip/system step wrong and bet on the wrong things?

Did you not read the instructions at all and try to wing it?

Before having a go at the tipster/system creator and/or giving up on the strategy, make sure that the answer to those questions isn’t yes…

User guides and the like are there for a reason so, if you want to get the best from any service, read ‘em!

Was it their fault?

Of course, as with Bet Chat Bec, it may actually be that it was the tipster/system creator’s fault…

Are the instructions confusing or contradictory?

Is the tipster failing to stick to their own strategy?

Do the selections not make logical sense/is the tipster unable to justify them?

Do you suspect the past results (or display product when it comes to our DIY metaphor) were artificially and unrealistically tarted up?

If the answer to any of those questions is yes, and if the tipster/system creator can’t give you a good answer to your questions (and do always ask if you’re unsure – they can’t help you if you don’t ask), then yes, I imagine it is their fault and you should probably move on.

A live example

We’ll finish today with a live example…

Bet Chat Fantasy Football winners not contacting me to claim their prizes!

For the following duo, this is your last chance to collect your November rewards:

Jack Palmer

Jon Wilson

If one of those people is you, just email clients@thebetchat.com to cash in.

As for everyone else, have a marvellous, hopefully flat-pack free, weekend!