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Clive’s Betting Diary: Feeling Guilty And A Golfing Disaster

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This series is all about the ups and downs of a tipster portfolio approach to sports betting. It’s not here to directly promote any of the services and it’s certainly not here to criticise them either (after all, I’d be quite the fool to stake my own money on a service I don’t have faith in!)

Ultimately, the sole goal is to show that, despite the natural peaks and troughs, it is possible to make a good side income from sports betting if you follow the right services. All it takes is a little bit of organisation, and plenty of patience!

Please Note: I’ve written an introduction to this betting diary feature which you will need to read first to make sense of the below. You can find it on the Bet Chat website by clicking this link.


Horse Racing

First off, a strange week in that I had tickets for an MCR concert in Warrington for which I had to leave home 1:00am Friday and travel back overnight arriving back about 4 in the morning. I had no option but to attend as MCR were the favourite band of our late daughter, so this was something of a memorial concert for me. This eliminated Love for the week, his tips coming Friday afternoons.

The venue turned out to be something of a nightmare and upon leaving it was already midnight when I reached my car.  This delay meant I was forced to stop off for a kip on the way back and I arrived home at 6:30am.

My first job was top prepare the Racecracker tips and when I saw there were 20 of them, I knew I could never get this done for 8 o’clock without mistakes, so I abandoned Racecracker for the day and went to bed, thus also missing all Northern Monkey’s tips for the day and all my free tipster selections.

My first big mistake, as Charlotte Jones rode a career first treble all of which were on the Racecracker list, and they ended up producing six winners for an absent profit of 13 points. So, this is essentially a week without a Saturday which is a very large proportion of my week.

The rest of the week was entirely uneventful and produced an £85 loss although at least Racecracker broke even, but it will take a fair while to get over my disservice to my Racecracker customers.

Football

The only bets for the week revolved around Liverpool’s Champions League defeat. Tipster Adam admitted he had lost the value of a small house backing Chelsea, then City and now Liverpool to beat Real Madrid, so I think I’d better not make an issue of my £35 loss for the week.

Golf

WGV (World Golf Value) work from formulae that create their version of true odds for each golfer in the field. They then present bets with around seven golfers in each event that they feel have a better chance than the advertised odds.

This is very complex with bet365 offering one quarter the odds first five, Sky offering one fifth for the first eight and everyone else chipping in with variations.

Selections come with three suggested bookmakers that are too high even though their differing place terms create different margins. The problem for we punters is when the odds don’t stay the same and move below value. Sometimes, this is my fault as I only have six bookie accounts. Sometimes it is the bookies themselves that slash opportunity at the first whiff of bets arriving.

Anyway, to cut a long story short, occasionally I can’t get on at value prices and so it was with Sam Burns this week. A 30/1 shot when advised with neutral value at 29.6. Yes, they are often that close.

The best I could find was 28/1 so no bet for me. When I crashed out on Sunday night he was two shots behind the world number one Scottie Scheffler so all was well, but I was gutted to find he had won in a play off the following morning and my stake of £7 each way was hardly a saving.

Summary

Total losses for the week of £135, a liveable amount especially when all could have been retrieved by the missed Racecracker bets.

Now attention turns to the latest Bet Chat offering… We Bet You Bet starts on the 8th so a decision must be made quite soon. Perhaps a good week next week can fund it. It certainly looks good.

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